From 2008 until 2013 I worked at the [http://www.geos.ed.ac.uk/research/cecs/ Centre for the study of Environmental Change and Sustainability], in the [http://www.geos.ed.ac.uk School of GeoSciences] at the [http://www.ed.ac.uk University of Edinburgh]. I worked on agent based models of land use change: starting from socioeconimic data, creating models of human behaviour which respond to changing climate, sociopolitical and economic changes, and using scenario analysis to develop plausible futures based on coherent assumptions.
=== Agent Based Modelling ===
I developed three agent based modelling frameworks, and an introductory course:
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Introductory Agent Based Modelling Course This is a series of exercises created for the Spatial Modelling of Human Environment Interactions course. It goes from a simple Cellular Automata model, to a city growing with different agents types and social networks. |
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CRAFTY CRAFTY models competition for land at a European scale, based on agents ability to leverage a range of capitals to provide services to the general population. (Part of [http://www.volante-project.eu/ VOLANTE]) |
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Aporia Aporia is an Agent Based Modelling framework for simulating rural land use change. It models the impacts of human behaviour and socio-economic scenarios on ecosystem services, and has been applied to several case studies around Europe, and connected to an Individual Based model of skylark populations. (Part of [http://www.ecochange-project.eu/ EcoChange]) |
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ABMLand ABMLand2 is an agent based model created as part of the PLUREL project. It is desgned to model urban growth though simulating interactions between Residents, Planners, Developers, Infrstructure Providers and Lobbying organisations. (Part of [http://www.plurel.net/ PLUREL]) |
=== Other Work ===
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GEnS The Global Environmental Stratification by Marc Metzger divides the world into 125 bioclimatic strata. I've been involved in modelling how these might shift based on future climate scenarios, by applying machine learning techniques to current data and classifying future points. |
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PLUM Plum is the "Parsimonious Land Use Model". It uses a system dynamics approach to simulate global land use change, using as few components as possible. |
Also:
* Vision development
* Crowdsourcing
=== Projects ===
I was involved in:
* [http://www.ecochange-project.eu/ EcoChange]: an FP-6 project assessing the impact of global change on biodiversity and ecosystems.
* [http://www.plurel.net/ PLUREL]: an FP-7 project around sustainable urban-rural land use strategies.
* [http://www.volante-project.eu/ VOLANTE]: an FP-7 project providing an interdisciplinary scientific basis to inform land use and natural resource management policies and decision-making and developing a roadmap for future land resource management in Europe.